Lens vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 3
LEN
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CLE
1 - 4
LEN
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
LEN
3 - 3
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 0
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ORL
1 - 3
LEN
5%
16%
79%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SOC
0 - 0
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
MON
0 - 2
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 1
SED
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 1
LYO
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |