Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
NAN
4 - 0
LEN
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
LEN
2 - 1
REI
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
PFC
1 - 3
LEN
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
LEN
1 - 1
ANG
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1974 |
MET
1 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
ASN
1 - 1
ASS
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRO
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
SED
0 - 0
ASS
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |