Lens vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1962 |
SOC
1 - 2
LEN
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
LEN
3 - 4
REI
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
NÎM
2 - 1
LEN
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
LEN
4 - 0
TFC
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
FCR
2 - 1
LEN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 1
REN
69%
18%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 2
ASS
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 1
LHA
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASS
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1962 |
SOC
0 - 2
ASS
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |