Lens vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 4
RED
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
NAN
1 - 0
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
LEN
1 - 0
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
MAR
2 - 2
FCR
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 2
NAN
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
SED
2 - 0
FCR
71%
19%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
FCR
0 - 0
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
LYO
2 - 1
FCR
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |