Lens vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 0
LEN
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
LEN
2 - 1
NÎM
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
47%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
FCR
5 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
REN
2 - 1
FCR
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
NIC
2 - 0
FCR
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 2
TFC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ANG
5 - 2
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |