Lens vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 2
REN
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
MPL
2 - 1
LEN
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
REI
3 - 1
LEN
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
STR
1 - 3
LEN
45%
24%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
FCR
0 - 2
RAC
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
NÎM
2 - 1
FCR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
FCR
2 - 1
SED
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
FCR
2 - 2
TFC
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
MPL
3 - 1
FCR
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |