Lens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
7º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 58 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
8% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
17% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LHA
1 - 2
LEN
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 1
TFC
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
58%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 2
LEN
27%
26%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 0
MPL
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
2 - 4
PSG
2%
8%
90%
|
96 | 34 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASS
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
58%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |