Lens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
TFC
0 - 1
LEN
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 1
MPL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
LHA
0 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
STL
4 - 0
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 4
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
PSG
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
AUX
3 - 0
PSG
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
PSG
0 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 0
PSG
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
PSG
0 - 2
NAN
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |