Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Lens vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
LEN
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
LEI
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
LEN
10%
21%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 1
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
TRI
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
58%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 4
PAN
31%
27%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |