Lens vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 2
LEN
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 4
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
LEN
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
0 - 0
GRE
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
ORL
0 - 2
TRO
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LHA
1 - 2
ORL
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ORL
0 - 3
AJA
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NIO
2 - 0
ORL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 2
ROD
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |