Lens vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
TRO
0 - 2
LEN
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
LEN
4 - 1
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1977 |
NAN
1 - 1
LEN
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASS
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
GIR
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 2
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 1
REI
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
ANG
1 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
NÎM
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |