Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 3
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
GAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
ESW
78%
17%
5%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
NÎM
0 - 0
LHA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
NÎM
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
NÎM
1 - 2
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
AUX
2 - 0
NÎM
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
NÎM
3 - 0
REI
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |