Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
NIO
46%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
LEN
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
NÎM
2 - 1
TOU
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AFA
0 - 0
NÎM
9%
16%
76%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
NÎM
0 - 2
SOC
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
NÎM
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |