Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 2
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEN
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
STR
2 - 1
LEN
45%
28%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 1
REN
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
NÎM
2 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
SPO
3 - 1
NÎM
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
NÎM
3 - 0
STL
42%
27%
30%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
NAN
4 - 0
NÎM
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
NÎM
3 - 0
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |