Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 3
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 1
REN
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 1
GIR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1968 |
LEN
5 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 0
NÎM
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
NÎM
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
REN
1 - 0
NÎM
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
NÎM
1 - 1
NAN
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
ASN
2 - 1
NÎM
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |