Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
LEN
3 - 1
AUX
38%
29%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
LEN
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
IST
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 0
STR
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
NÎM
4 - 0
NIC
28%
27%
46%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |