Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
STL
2 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
RAC
3 - 0
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
27%
30%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
LEN
1 - 2
LIL
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
MPL
2 - 0
LEN
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |