Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
GIR
5 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
REI
2 - 0
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 0
ANG
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PSG
3 - 1
LEN
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1977 |
LEN
3 - 0
NÎM
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
NIC
1 - 0
NÎM
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
REI
0 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1977 |
NIC
1 - 2
LYO
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |