Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
FCR
0 - 2
LEN
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1966 |
LEN
2 - 0
ASS
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
NÎM
1 - 2
LEN
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1966 |
SOC
2 - 5
LEN
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
NIC
4 - 3
LYO
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
FCR
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1966 |
ORG
2 - 1
NIC
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
NIC
2 - 1
GIR
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |