Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SED
2 - 1
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 1
NÎM
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 1
SFP
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
ANG
2 - 2
LEN
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASN
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
NIC
3 - 1
MPL
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
GIR
0 - 2
NIC
54%
21%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
NIC
3 - 2
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
TFC
4 - 0
NIC
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
NIC
1 - 0
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |