Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1961 |
LEN
5 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
ANG
0 - 2
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
LEN
0 - 0
STR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 4
LEN
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
LEN
1 - 0
FCR
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1961 |
NIC
1 - 0
RAC
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
REI
5 - 0
NIC
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASS
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
MET
2 - 1
NIC
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
NIC
1 - 3
NÎM
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |