Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEN
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
SPO
2 - 0
LEN
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
NAN
5 - 0
MAR
54%
27%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
AUX
1 - 0
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
51%
27%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
NIC
3 - 1
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
STL
1 - 1
NAN
40%
28%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |