Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
LEN
3 - 1
REI
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
GIR
0 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
STL
0 - 2
NAN
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
STL
0 - 5
NAN
28%
28%
45%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
NAN
5 - 1
LYO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1979 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |