Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEN
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
STL
1 - 3
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
LEN
3 - 3
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
NAN
4 - 0
STL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NAN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
NAN
1 - 1
REI
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |