Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SED
3 - 0
LEN
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
LEN
4 - 1
LYO
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
LEN
5 - 2
REI
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1966 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
LYO
1 - 2
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
NAN
4 - 0
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1966 |
CEL
3 - 1
NAN
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAN
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
NAN
1 - 3
CEL
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |