Lens vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SED
3 - 1
LEN
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
LEN
3 - 2
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
REN
3 - 3
LEN
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
NÎM
2 - 2
LEN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
LEN
1 - 0
ANG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1964 |
NAN
0 - 2
NÎM
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
GIR
2 - 2
NAN
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
NAN
4 - 2
SFP
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
LIL
2 - 2
NAN
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1964 |
NAN
3 - 0
FCR
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |