Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
REI
3 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
BOU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 1
LEN
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
LES
0 - 0
LEN
19%
21%
59%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 2
REI
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 0
GAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 2
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |