Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 2
LEN
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 1
LEN
35%
29%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
CAN
5 - 2
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LEN
2 - 1
MPL
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
ASN
1 - 2
CAN
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1996 |
ANG
1 - 2
ASN
30%
30%
41%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
ASN
3 - 0
SPI
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 0
SOC
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |