Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
GIR
3 - 2
LEN
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
2 - 1
GEN
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
0 - 0
NÎM
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 2
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
LEN
4 - 2
LIL
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
MON
1 - 1
ASN
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
ASN
0 - 0
STL
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
ASN
2 - 0
TFC
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |