Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
LEN
3 - 0
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
PSG
3 - 0
LEN
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
LEN
1 - 0
STL
67%
18%
14%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
LEN
4 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ASN
3 - 2
PSG
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
BRE
3 - 3
ASN
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
ASN
2 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
STL
0 - 1
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |