Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
LEN
1 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
GIR
5 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
REI
2 - 0
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 0
ANG
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PSG
3 - 1
LEN
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
STL
1 - 1
ASN
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
ASN
4 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
MET
3 - 0
ASN
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
ASN
3 - 0
NAN
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |