Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
NAN
1 - 1
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
LYO
4 - 1
LEN
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
ASN
3 - 2
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 4
ASN
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
ASN
5 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1976 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |