Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
LEN
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 0
SED
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1962 |
LEN
1 - 0
REN
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
ASN
2 - 2
GIR
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASN
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
ASN
2 - 2
REN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1962 |
LYO
1 - 3
ASN
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 2
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |