Lens vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SFP
2 - 2
LEN
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
LEN
2 - 1
ANG
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
LHA
0 - 0
LEN
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
LEN
1 - 0
LYO
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NIC
2 - 0
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ASN
1 - 1
REI
29%
22%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
FCR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ASN
2 - 1
SFP
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RAC
2 - 0
ASN
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ASN
3 - 1
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |