Lens vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LYO
3 - 0
LEN
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
LEN
2 - 3
RAC
33%
23%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
MET
1 - 0
LEN
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
TFC
2 - 0
LEN
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LEN
2 - 1
SFP
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MPL
3 - 1
REN
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
SOC
1 - 1
MPL
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
NÎM
3 - 1
MPL
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
2 - 2
MPL
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |