Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
GAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
ESW
78%
17%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
STL
0 - 1
LEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
LHA
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
GUI
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 0
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
TFC
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ASN
4 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |