Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
NIC
0 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
LEN
1 - 2
NAN
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEN
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
MET
3 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
AUX
0 - 1
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
51%
27%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |