Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
MON
1 - 2
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
STR
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
REN
2 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
MET
3 - 1
PSG
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 2
MET
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
MET
3 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1986 |
MET
3 - 0
LHA
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
NIC
2 - 0
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |