Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
AUX
0 - 0
LEN
61%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
LEN
6 - 1
TOU
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1984 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEN
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 1
GIR
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
PSG
4 - 3
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
MET
0 - 0
SGD
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
MET
2 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
TOU
2 - 1
MET
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
SGD
3 - 1
MET
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |