Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
STL
3 - 0
LEN
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
LEN
1 - 3
SOC
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEN
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
LEN
0 - 2
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1978 |
NIC
5 - 4
LEN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
MET
2 - 1
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
STL
3 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |