Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1968 |
SED
1 - 1
LEN
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
LEN
0 - 2
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
ANG
1 - 2
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
LYO
3 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1968 |
MET
1 - 2
NIC
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1968 |
ASA
0 - 1
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1968 |
MAR
2 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
MET
2 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |