Lens vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
REI
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
IST
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 0
LEN
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 0
LHA
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEN
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
ARL
54%
26%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 1
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
LMU
3 - 0
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 1
LMU
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 3
STL
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |