Lens vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SOC
0 - 2
LEN
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 1
CAE
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
LEN
31%
29%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LEN
3 - 2
ASS
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
3 - 0
LMU
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LMU
3 - 2
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CAE
3 - 2
LMU
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NIO
0 - 3
LMU
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |