Lens vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
26%
28%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 0
LEN
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 3
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 2
LEN
27%
29%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 2
SOC
25%
28%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
3 - 1
SED
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
LMU
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 0
GUI
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
LMU
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |