Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
7º
35
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
6.5% | 16.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12% | 24% |
|
Europa League
|
18.5% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEN
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
52%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
LYO
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 3
LIL
68%
20%
13%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
LIL
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 0
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 3
LIL
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |