Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
POI
0 - 1
LEN
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NAN
3 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
10%
16%
73%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CLE
2 - 2
LEN
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 3
LIL
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LIL
3 - 1
AUX
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
LYO
28%
24%
47%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 3
LIL
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |