Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
ASA
2 - 2
LEN
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 1
FCR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 4
RED
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
LIL
1 - 2
GIR
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ANG
1 - 3
LIL
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |