Lens vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
GUI
7 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
NÎM
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 3
GIR
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
IST
2 - 3
DIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LHA
2 - 0
IST
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
IST
2 - 0
GUI
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
IST
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LMU
1 - 2
IST
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |