Lens vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
LEN
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 2
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 3
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 3
LMU
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SED
1 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LHA
1 - 1
REI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
LHA
64%
23%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
LHA
0 - 0
USB
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
CLE
2 - 1
LHA
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |