Lens vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1995 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
30%
30%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
AUX
3 - 0
LEN
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 2
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
MON
6 - 0
LEN
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1995 |
PSG
2 - 2
LHA
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1995 |
LHA
0 - 1
LIL
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 2
LHA
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
LHA
1 - 4
AUX
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
LYO
2 - 0
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |